“….Well inilah penyebabnya mengapa akhirnya Fibonacci menjadi ilmu analisa teknikal khusus, dan bahkan dengan angka akurasi yang membuat kita mungkin tercengang yaitu 96% menurut Jeff Boyd seorang analis forex dalam sebuah artikelnya.”

(selengkapnya baca artikel tentang apa dan bagaimana,analisa Fibonacci? hanya di http://forexanalyze.blogspot.com)

Minggu, 30 Maret 2008

Fibonacci: Is there any suggestion when the market moves sideways?

First of all, when the market is trading sideways there is a very little chance to get rewarded, but there is a huge chance to sustain additional losses. Therefore, no Fibonacci should be applied in sideways market.
Instead, traders should draw two trend lines above and below the price trading range (trend lines will show support and resistance levels) and then place orders when the price breaks out of this levels. That is the only way to trade sideways moving market.
If Forex traders are determined to find a trend, they should switch to a larger time frame.

I still have troubles finding Swings High and Low (A and B points) to draw Fibonacci on...

If you take a group of traders and give them the same chart to define Fibonacci levels you will discover that there are many opinions on where exactly to place Fibonacci study.
Our goal is to find the approach that would be used by majority of Forex traders. This skill comes only with practice.

However, to help you now in your first efforts to define AB swings, lets use couple of tricks, or rather eye guiding tools.

Tool number one will be Stochastic indicator — set full or slow Stochastic with settings 5, 3, 3 or 14, 3, 3, whichever works best for you and use Stochastic lines crossover to find tops and bottoms. E.g. when Stochastic lines cross, mark this point on a bar chart, around this level we will have our Swing High or Swing Low.

Tool number two is Heikin-Ashi candlesticks. Simply switch your charts to display Heikin-ashi bars instead of regular candlesticks. If you don't have such option on your Forex trading platform, use another one from a different broker, for example, Oanda or FXSolutions.
With Heikin-ashi charts price waves become more apparent. Once Heikin-ashi candle changes its color to the opposite (wait till the candle is closed) mark your new level high or low. Once got High and Low pull Fibonacci study with confidence.



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